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What if the Beverly Hillbillies had struck silicon instead of oil?

Carl and I were talking last night about technology in a general fashion. We're usually talking .NET, but it turns out that we have other interests as well.

Have you ever stopped to think about what a weird time in history this is? I think the thought hits me every few months like a bowling ball launched unexpectedly from a canon in a hallway closet, but we're living at a time that is pretty uber unique.

I'm not an academic, so I'm given to making crap up as I go along without trying to back it up with authoritative sources, and I lack the jaded aspect that many "know-it-alls" have when talking about such things which means that I sometimes sound a bit wide-eyed and naive, but I must say that it floors me that we're living when we are, which is during the birth of technology on this planet. Of all the times in human history that any of us could have been born, we just happened to wind up here.

It seems like the emergence of technology is something that only happens once given that technology becomes its own medium for transport, and gradually gets its fingers in everything. It becomes its own source of growth, and spreads itself like a virus. We're currently watching the virus get its start.

That we're in it this early on means that we're seeing some strange stuff. We're getting to see technology put people out of jobs without being able to replace those jobs. We're getting to see the hints of advances in medical science that our children, or maybe grandchildren, will get to enjoy, but that we just missed by "this much" [holding fingers apart by about an inch]. Many of us will still be alive when the world's population (supposedly) peaks around 2050, meaning that we'll either get to benefit in a large way from having a huge base of customers to whom we can sell our crap, or that we're really going to get a swift kick to the scrotal area when we deal with the reality that there isn't "enough [resource X] to go around."

Hang on. Thought collecting time.

I think I'm posting this because it's good for a little bit of perspective. When you get caught up in yourself, your blog, your job, your GPS-enabled car, and your iPod, it's easy to forget that we're just looking at the absolute beginnings of what can be done with technology. I think that for us (people in general), technology has arrived the way a lump sum lottery payment might. We were extremely poor yesterday, but now we have all this stuff, and we don't know what to do with it. We're running around and trying everything we possibly can, but we aren't doing much good with what we have because we don't know yet how to put it to good use. It's like what would have happened if the Beverly Hillbillies had struck silicon instead of oil.

I think I might also be posting this because I get depressed every once in a while about the way 2001 arrived. It wasn't even remotely like the 2001 that Arthur C. Clarke had us all buying into. I don't blame him for getting it wrong, though - the technology is absolutely here to do everything that humans did in his 2001. It's been around for a while, really. But, like my dentist once said to me in response to a drooly and incoherent impromptu speech I gave to her on how dentists charge way too much dough for their services (it was drooly because she had big metal dental things stuck in my face (I think she was trying to shut me up (seriously))), "Well, Rory, all I can say is that people make their choices."

I'd like to think that all the focus on gadgets and useless software is just a phase we're going through as we play with all of our newfound stuff, and that at some point in the near future, people will make better choices about what to do with technology. I love my MP3 player, but I'm getting tired of thinking about the fact that there's R&D money going into the next generation of entertainment technology.

Do any of you think that 26 is too old to go back to school? I'm having a lot of fun with what I'm doing right now, but I have to admit that I feel a strong desire to help do something that would push technology forward and to a better place, rather than doing more work automating HR's "Business efficiency action initiatives."

Published Saturday, March 27, 2004 6:10 PM by Rory

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Comments

 

bliz said:

"Do any of you think that 26 is too old to go back to school?"

Nope, but hurry. At 26, you're still a young pup with options wide open. (But when you reach 27, you'll be stuck for life.)

So what do you want to be when you grow up? I'm 45 and still ask myself this question almost monthly.

I think it's almost time to get out of the worker bee role.

http://snowstormlife.com/blogs/bliz/PermaLink.aspx?guid=4743a05f-975a-4d37-ac4b-45157cff96e1
March 27, 2004 6:50 PM
 

Daren said:

"world's population (supposedly) peaks around 2050"

Why what's going to happen in 2050 to stop us multiplying ?

:)
March 27, 2004 6:53 PM
 

Steve said:

I hope 26 is not too old to go back to school. I'm 25, and I definitely want to go back to school in the future.

On the "emerging technology" front: have you read Ray Kurzweil's book "Age of Spiritual Machines"? You might really like it (I did):

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0140282025/qid=1080413506/sr=8-1/ref=pd_ka_1/103-2024351-8461434?v=glance&s=books&n=507846
March 27, 2004 6:55 PM
 

Rory said:

Daren -

"Why what's going to happen in 2050 to stop us multiplying ?"

That's just one of the figure's thrown around by ivory tower types.

My guess if forced sterilization, but who knows :)
March 27, 2004 7:32 PM
 

paul said:

Software development is nothing but learning, stick to the blogging (reading and writing) and .Net Rocks, you will learn more then any University knows. I went to a very good school (Tulane) so I can tell you that a University degree is highly overrated. GWBush graduated from Harvard, BGates dropped out, what does that tell you?
March 27, 2004 7:33 PM
 

Ed Bilodeau said:

I went back to school at 34, started a Master's degree and have since fast tracked to the PhD. It is challenging (to say the least) but very worth it, IMHO. I see at as a chance to widen my options at a point in my life when most other people are locked in hard to a narrowing set of possibilities by the choices they've made.
March 27, 2004 9:20 PM
 

Sean Cull said:

26 isn't too old to go back to school. 28 is creeping up on me, and I still have a dream of getting some sort of English or Literature degree. Then teach creative writing or something. But right now I'm having too much fun learning C# and the .NET Framework. And when I'm not coding I'm writing fiction and submitting it to magazines like Asimov's or Analog. Would I give up the IT profession to write full time? Probably, yes. But I'm still young enough to hold on to that dream and nurture it, until such time that it becomes a reality. If you have something else you'd like to try, I'd say go for it! You seem like a very intelligent guy, Rory, so I think you'd do well with whatever you end up choosing.
March 27, 2004 10:29 PM
 

Mark Freedman said:

Ahhh, the age-old question, just rephrased for the 21st century -- "What is the meaning of life -- and more specifically, my life?"

"Do any of you think that 26 is too old to go back to school?"

Absolutely not! When I started college, back in 1979, on my first day, running around trying to get signed up to classes I wanted (with an UNcomputerized registration system, no less), I was flustered, and ran into an older lady who just turned 70 and was just starting her first year, also. Her quote to me was, "I'll be 74 in four years either way, so I may as well get there with a degree!" That impressed me. Well, I ended up going to college off and on part time for nine years; still no degree. I've had a "successful" career, but still believe that I will make a huge difference in the world one day, and all that's preceeded today is just preparation. I just wish I knew what my role will become.

And one of my goals is to go back to school at 50, and get my degree.

You are right, IMO. We are absolutely at the experimental stage of the technology age, and most of us don't know the historical outcome and, uh, "killer app" that all this is heading towards. I am convinced, though, that these "experiments" are useful (MP3 players and such -- and even .NET, my new obsession) and are leading us in the right direction. I also think the entertainment industry's innovative use of technology should be looked at seriously. It's that type of creativity which will lead us towards the true promise of benefits to mankind, and ultimately, beyond.

That sounded a little weird...but I think there's truth in that.

Go back to school if you want, and continue to learn either way.
March 27, 2004 10:36 PM
 

Scott said:

I think it depends on what degree you want and how you want to be involved in emerging technologies.

I went to college, my goal wasn't to be a programmer though. I wanted to get my MD and then a PhD and do research. So I got my BS in Biochemistry and did a little bit of graduate work. I didn't get into Med School my first try, bills were coming due, my programming gigs on the side were paying pretty well. So I went into programming. Now I'm working for a cancer research center in Seattle. My degree, although completely unrelated to my profession, comes in pretty handy when I'm making decisions about how to handle the medical data.

Another benefit of my degree was how it taught me critical thinking. It taught me how to break a large problem down into smaller ones and work on them. Something I do every time I start to write a large application. It also helps me juggle lots of variables but still keep my eye on the big picture. More and more today people are starting to see similarities between biological systems and computer systems, mimicing the biology in the bits and bytes of interconnected software.

Understanding, the extent that we do, how the immune system works can help programmers design more effective anti-viral systems for operating systems. We've got a model that works, the fact that we're not all dead is proof that the model of the immune system works. We just need to mimic it.

Consider things like that when you think about what you want to get a degree in. What do you like? Do you want to learn how to create the next gen computer systems or program them. Do you want to make a better accounting system and sell it? What about a diagnostic instrument for detecting blood-borne cancers? How about creating a computer based curriculum for kids?

BTW my Molecular Biology and BioChemistry classes both had a 74 year old retired doctor who sat in on them because he just loved learning about new techniques and findings. You're never too old to go back to school.
March 28, 2004 1:25 AM
 

Rich C said:

You know 26 can't be too old. I went back at the ripe age of 36 and I'm loving it. I will finally graduate at the ancient age of 39.

What's that sonny?
March 28, 2004 4:41 AM
 

Ron Green said:

There is a Zen Monastary in upstate New York. You should visit there sometime.

Is 26 too old? Pass the gravy!
March 28, 2004 4:50 AM
 

Sven Groot said:

""Why what's going to happen in 2050 to stop us multiplying ?"

That's just one of the figure's thrown around by ivory tower types.

My guess if forced sterilization, but who knows :) "

I think it's not so much that we'd stop reproducing, but that we'd have such a shortage of things like food that the mortality rate would be bigger than the birth rate, on a global scale at least.

Then again, the people who said that aren't psychics either. They just look at demographic trend lines, and try to figure out how it'll progress. So whether you believe it or not is up to you.
March 28, 2004 10:44 AM
 

Rory said:

Rich -

"You know 26 can't be too old. I went back at the ripe age of 36 and I'm loving it."

Yeah, but I've hung out with you enough to know that you have a generally good outlook on life.

What about those of us who are outlook challenged and felt 80 when they were 20?

Maybe what I *really* need is to figure out how to have a better outlook...
March 28, 2004 5:58 PM
 

Rory said:

"Maybe what I *really* need is to figure out how to have a better outlook..."

Hey - it came to me right when I hit the "Submit" button.

The answer, of course, is drugs!

I'll start a nice drug habit.

Is that how the rest of you are managing?
March 28, 2004 5:59 PM
 

Ian said:

would Eudora help?
March 28, 2004 7:33 PM
 

Rory said:

"would Eudora help?"

Mr. Clever :)
March 28, 2004 7:42 PM
 

Matt Burns said:

"of all the words, tongue and pen, the saddest are, it could have been"

Chase your dreams man. there's nothing worse than looking back on your life and thinking you should have done something else.

the only time it's too late to go back is when it's all over. (which is 30 if your curious)
March 28, 2004 11:31 PM
 

TrackBack said:

Outwardly Normal 2
March 27, 2004 7:37 PM
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